FIFA World Cup Fixtures Scenarios: Brazil, Switzerland, Serbia, Mexico, Germany, Sweden, & Colombia

Here are the scenarios coming to the last round of fixtures for Groups E to H in the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia featuring the favorites Brazil, Germany, and Colombia. Plus Serbia, Switzerland, Mexico, and Sweden.

Group E

Brazil

(Chances of Advancing: 65%)

A win or a draw is enough for Brazil to advance to the Last 16. A draw and a Switzerland win will see them on the second spot. But if both Brazil and Switzerland will pull a draw, the team with a superior goal differential score will top the group.

GROUP E
		W	D	L	Points
	SWITZERLAND	2	1	0	7
	BRAZIL	1	2	0	5
	SERBIA	1	1	1	4
	CROATIA	0	0	3	0

If Brazil lose to Serbia, they must hope that Costa Rica will defeat Switzerland. A superior goal differential score will determine which team, Brazil or Switzerland, will advance.

GROUP E
		W	D	L	Points
	SERBIA	2	0	1	6
	BRAZIL	1	1	1	4
	SWITZERLAND	1	1	1	4
	COSTA RICA	1	0	2	3

Switzerland

(Chances of Advancing: 80%)

A draw at the very least against Costa Rica will ensure that Switzerland will advance to the Last 16. Though Brazil is currently on top of the group, Switzerland is much better off even if they lost their match against Costa Rica. If so, a Brazil win would still see them through the next round.

GROUP E
		W	D	L	Points
	BRAZIL	2	1	0	7
	SWITZERLAND	1	1	1	4
	SERBIA	1	0	2	3
	COSTA RICA	1	0	2	3

A Brazil-Serbia draw would also have them advance if they have a superior goal differential score against Serbia.

GROUP B
		W	D	L	Points
	BRAZIL	1	2	0	5
	SWITZERLAND	1	1	1	4
	SERBIA	1	1	1	4
	COSTA RICA	1	0	2	3

Same is true if Serbia wins against Brazil. They just need to have a higher goal differential score to advance.

GROUP E
		W	D	L	Points
	SERBIA	2	0	1	6
	SWITZERLAND	1	1	1	4
	BRAZIL	1	1	1	4
	COSTA RICA	1	0	2	3

Serbia

(Chances of Advancing: 40%)

Serbia has an uphill climb to the round of 16 compared to Brazil and Switzerland. A win should carry them through the next round, but a draw should be tricky for they need Costa Rica to beat Switzerland for a chance to advance, that and a superior goal differential score compared to Switzerland.

GROUP E
		W	D	L	Points
	BRAZIL	1	2	0	6
	SERBIA	1	1	1	4
	SWITZERLAND	1	1	1	4
	COSTA RICA	1	0	2	3

Group F

Mexico

(Chances of Advancing: 70%)

A draw against Sweden should be enough for the team to move pass the group stage. A lost, coupled with a Germany win would put the Group F team into a chaotic set-up with a three-way tie. The goal differential scores will determine if they will advance.

GROUP F
		W	D	L	Points
	MEXICO	2	1	1	7
	GERMANY	2	1	1	7
	SWEDEN	2	1	1	7
	KOREA REP.	0	0	3	0

Germany

(Chances of Advancing: 80%)

A win against Korea Republic should advance the titleholders to the Round of 16 regardless of the result of the simultaneous Mexico-Sweden match. The best chance for Germany to advance is for Mexico to defeat Sweden, so even if they pull a draw or lose versus Korea, they will still advance to the next round. If they lose, it will result in a three-way tie between Germany, Sweden, and Korea. The goal differential scores will determine if they will advance.

GROUP F
		W	D	L	Points
	MEXICO	3	0	0	9
	GERMANY	1	0	2	3
	SWEDEN	1	0	2	3
	KOREA REP.	1	0	2	3

If Sweden draws with Mexico, Germany can still advance even if it draws against Korea depending on the goal differential score. But the danger here is that if they pulled a draw and Sweden somehow defeats Mexico, they will be eliminated from the tournament.

GROUP F
		W	D	L	Points
	MEXICO	2	1	0	7
	GERMANY	1	1	1	4
	SWEDEN	1	1	1	4
	KOREA REP	0	1	2	1

Sweden

(Chances of Advancing: 40%)

Sweden badly needs a win to advance to the next round. Even if they somehow managed to defeat Mexico, they still need a superior goal differential score compared to Germany (if they win versus Korea) or Mexico to advance. If they win and Germany lose to Korea, then their path is clear and they will advance to the Round of 16.

GROUP F
		W	D	L	Points
	MEXICO	2	1	0	7
	SWEDEN	2	0	1	6
	GERMANY	2	0	1	6
	KOREA REP.	0	0	3	0

In the event that Sweden draws versus Mexico, they will be eliminated unless Korea draws or defeats Germany. Then again if it is a draw from both sides, they still need a superior goal differential score compared to Germany to avoid elimination. If they draw and Korea defeats Germany, they will advance to the next round.

GROUP F
		W	D	L	Points
	MEXICO	2	1	0	6
	SWEDEN	1	1	1	4
	GERMANY	1	1	1	4
	KOREA REP.	0	1	2	3

A lost is really not an option for Sweden but they still have a chance to advance if they have a superior goal differential score in a three-way 1-2-0 tie between them and Germany and Korea.

Group H

Colombia

(Chances of Advancing: 40%)

James Rodriguez’ team is alive after they booted out Poland in the World Cup group stage match. After a surprisingly strong showing from Japan and Senegal, Colombia needs to win against Senegal to ensure that they will continue to the Last 16. If they draw against Senegal, Japan needs to lose against Poland and they need to have a superior goal differential score to advance.